This profile mirrors and is kept in sync with the Nicaragua entry in the main guide's case studies.
Overview
The government has repeatedly stripped legal status from non-governmental organizations on a large scale, and in November 2024 its National Assembly approved making Rosario Murillo formal co-president alongside Daniel Ortega, a reform ratified in January 2025, consolidating a dual-family executive.
Democracy indicators
Liberal Democracy Index, 1990–2025
V-Dem's Liberal Democracy Index for Nicaragua was 0.41 in 1990, peaked at 0.48 in 1995, and stood at 0.02 in 2025 (scale 0–1). Dashed lines mark events described in the timeline below. Source: V-Dem via Our World in Data, retrieved November 7, 2026. Compare with other countries in the comparison tool.
Show the data
| Country | 1990 | 2015 | 2025 | Regime type, 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicaragua | 0.41 | 0.12 | 0.02 | Electoral autocracy |
Timeline
Key dated developments, each linked to the reporting that confirms it. Wording is kept neutral; where a government disputes a characterization, its stated position is included. See also the master timeline across all countries.
Daniel Ortega returned to the presidency after winning the November 2006 election. Source: The Irish Times
Sandinista magistrates on the Supreme Court's Constitutional Chamber set aside the constitutional ban on consecutive re-election, clearing Ortega to run again. Opposition leaders called it illegal. Source: The Tico Times
Protests began. By August the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights counted 322 deaths and said most victims died 'as a result of State action or vigilante forces in the service of the State'. Ortega called the unrest a U.S.-backed coup attempt. Source: IACHR / OAS
Police arrested another presidential hopeful, bringing to at least seven the would-be opposition candidates detained before the November election. Ortega said those targeted were plotting a coup. Source: Al Jazeera
Ortega was declared winner of a fourth consecutive term with more than 75%, while seven prominent would-be challengers were in prison. Source: AP via The Columbian
Nicaragua freed 222 political prisoners, flew them to Washington and stripped them of citizenship. Source: NPR
A further 94 critics, including writers Sergio Ramírez and Gioconda Belli, were declared 'traitors' and told they would lose citizenship and property. Source: NPR via Northern Public Radio
The government revoked the legal status of 1,500 NGOs, most of them religious, bringing closures since 2018 to more than 5,000. Source: AFP via The Standard
The National Assembly gave final approval to a constitutional reform making Ortega and Vice President Rosario Murillo 'co-presidents' and extending the term to six years. Source: AP via NY1
Under U.S. pressure, the government released dozens of political prisoners, describing it as 'reconciliation'. The U.S. Embassy said more than 60 people remained unjustly detained or disappeared. Source: AFP via The Tico Times
Ortega said, as translated by Reuters, 'There won't be any more elections here for them to try to seize the government'. AP reported this effectively cancels the election due in November 2027. Source: Al Jazeera
Analytical lens
Concepts on this wiki that help explain this case: Competitive Authoritarianism, Regime Types: How Democracy Is Measured.